Revenue Forecasting And Budget Preparation
Revenue does not necessarily mean cash received expenses and capital costs for a business.
Revenue forecasting and budget preparation. Financial forecasting in the budget preparation process. The ministry of finance s revenue working group acts as the coordinating body compil ing the results of forecasting work at the key stages of budget preparation and also when the stability programme and the general government fiscal plan are prepared. August 10 2016. A financial forecast is a fiscal management tool that presents estimated information based on past current and projected financial conditions.
Since many countries have proven to be perennially optimistic in revenue forecasting realistic revenue projections and the financeable fiscal deficit must be decided before the budget preparation procedure begins not at some late stage just before or worst of all after its completion. Current and proposed financial status and predicts the estimated revenue and expenses trends for a company or a country in its near future. The departments cooperate closely in the preparation of revenue forecasts. The budget preparation process a.
Trec revenue forecasting 1 revenue forecasting principles and procedures for more reliable revenue forecasts and better budgets don elder october 2012 there is a time honored way to develop a household budget. While there are a wide range of frequently used quantitative budget forecasting tools in this article we focus on the top four methods. Revenue forecasting is a critical component of budget preparation and sound management of public finances. Subchapter b budget preparation in counties with population of more than 225 000.
In the last couple of decades rising national and subnational debt burdens have been associated in many countries with substantial biases in forecasts of the fiscal deficit. In the worst examples the revenue forecast can become a residual derived from line ministries aggregated spending plans less external financing and acceptable domestic borrowing. First determine the income you are virtually certain to have. Objectives of budget preparation during budget preparation trade offs and prioritization among programs must be.
Financial forecasting and revenue certification local government code chapter 111. The purpose of the financial forecast is to evaluate current and future fiscal conditions to guide policy and programmatic decisions. Financial forecasting in the budget preparation process. Revenue forecasting through such means as relieving administrative or political pressures for overoptimistic forecasts and strengthen the linkages between policy.
1 straight line 2 moving average 3 simple linear regression and 4 multiple linear regression.